Market Report – 9th of May, 2025

EUR/USD

🔹 Overall Sentiment:

Bearish – The EUR/USD pair is currently trading at 1.12537, having broken decisively below the key dynamic support at 1.12950. This marks the second day of continued bearish sentiment, signaling a clear shift in control toward sellers after weeks of range-bound activity within the upper transition zone.

🔹 Transition Zones:


1.08650 – 1.09200 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This lower transition zone has not been tested since the March breakout, but it now presents itself as a medium-term downside target if selling pressure continues. Any return to this zone could offer a reactive support area.


1.12650 – 1.13600 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The pair has just slipped out of this zone. What once served as a consolidation base has now turned into an active resistance area. Until bulls reclaim this zone convincingly, sellers are likely to remain dominantve.

🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 1.08950
This is the next major support below the current price. A move toward this level would reflect a full retracement of the April rally. If broken, it opens the door for a more extensive correction.

Price: 1.12950
Now acting as resistance following the breakdown. Watch for potential rejection if the price attempts a retest of this level from below.

🔹 Commentary:


EUR/USD has exited a prolonged consolidation range and is now exhibiting downward momentum. The clean break beneath the 1.12950 support confirms the bearish shift, with price currently testing lower territory. While some short-term volatility may occur, the structure favors further weakness unless the pair quickly reclaims the 1.12650–1.12950 region. Traders should monitor whether sellers can sustain control and drive price down toward the next transition zone near 1.09. A bounce back above 1.12950 would be the first signal of a potential shift in tone.


GBP/USD

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bearish – The GBP/USD pair is currently trading at 1.32679, showing a clear bearish trend over the past two days. Sellers have managed to break below the 1.32050 level, signaling a loss of bullish momentum. With this bearish shift, further downside movement is possible, targeting key support levels.


🔹 Transition Zones:


1.29350 – 1.30000 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This is the key lower transition zone. If selling pressure persists, this level could act as a significant downside target. A break below this zone would confirm a deeper correction in the market.


1.33450 – 1.33900 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The pair is currently beneath this zone, which has now turned into an important resistance level. A move back into this zone would signal potential recovery and a possible return of bullish momentum. However, for now, this area remains a barrier to the upside.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 1.30150
This is a critical support level. A decisive break below 1.30150 would confirm further downside, with the next target being 1.29350, the lower transition zone.

Price: 1.32050
This level has turned into immediate resistance following the breakdown. A retest of 1.32050 could be a strong bearish rejection point. A failure to reclaim this level would suggest continued downside pressure.


🔹 Commentary:


GBP/USD has been under pressure for the past two days, confirming a shift toward bearish sentiment. The pair has broken below 1.32050, a critical support-turned-resistance level, and is now testing lower levels. Sellers are in control, and further declines toward 1.30150 and 1.29350 are possible if the bearish trend continues. Reversal into the 1.32050 resistance would signal a short-term recovery, but for now, the outlook remains bearish unless price reclaims higher levels decisively.


GOLD (XAU/USD)

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bullish – The sentiment for XAU/USD has just shifted back to bullish after a period of consolidation. Currently trading at 3325, the price has moved above key resistance levels, signaling renewed buying interest. The shift suggests that buyers are now in control, with further potential upside if momentum continues.


🔹 Transition Zones:

3010 – 3050 – Bullish Transition Zone.
This lower transition zone continues to act as strong support. If the market experiences a pullback, this area could be an important level to watch for a potential rebound to the upside. A dip toward this zone would be considered a buying opportunity, provided the bullish sentiment remains intact.

3195 – 3240 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This zone is an important resistance area that has recently been tested. A push above 3240 would confirm that the bullish trend is gaining strength, with potential to target higher levels.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 3050
This is now a key support level after the shift to bullish sentiment. A break below 3050 would likely invalidate the current bullish outlook and indicate a deeper correction, potentially back toward 3010.

Price: 3212
Currently, 3212 represents a dynamic resistance level. If the price breaks above this level, it could signal the continuation of the bullish trend, with the next target likely to be above 3240.


🔹 Commentary:


XAU/USD has just shifted back to bullish sentiment after a period of uncertainty. The recent move above 3050 has given buyers confidence, and the price is now targeting higher levels. 3212 remains the next key resistance level, and a break above it would confirm continued upside momentum. 3050 is now the support level to watch for a potential dip; a strong hold above this level would favor further gains.


WTI (Crude Oil)

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bullish – The sentiment for WTI has been bullish for the past two days, with the price currently at 61.053. This indicates that the market is in an upward phase, and buying interest remains strong. The recent movement suggests the potential for a continuation of the bullish trend if the price continues to hold above support levels.


🔹 Transition Zones:

62.300 – 63.800 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This zone represents a key resistance level. The market is testing the upper range of this zone, and if it breaks above 63.800, it would confirm a continuation of the bullish trend. However, any rejection within this zone could result in a pullback toward lower levels.

70.750 – 71.450 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This is a much higher resistance area that remains untested but could be the next target for the bulls if momentum continues. A breakout above 63.800 and a sustained push toward 70.750 – 71.450 could be the next major phase for WTI.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 59.600
This is the critical support level for WTI. Any movement below 59.600 would invalidate the current bullish sentiment, signaling the potential for further downside. However, as long as WTI stays above this level, the bullish outlook remains intact.

Price: 63.850
63.850 is a key dynamic resistance level. If the price manages to break above this level, it would confirm that the bullish trend is likely to continue, with the next target in sight being the 70.750 – 71.450 transition zone.


🔹 Commentary:


WTI is showing a bullish sentiment, with the price currently trading at 61.053. The market is testing the upper end of the transition zone at 62.300 – 63.800, which could act as a potential resistance. If WTI can break above 63.850, the next target could be the higher transition zone around 70.750 – 71.450. The immediate support at 59.600 is critical for maintaining the bullish outlook. A break below this level could indicate a shift in sentiment and a possible downside correction.


S&P 500

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bullish – The sentiment for the S&P 500 has been bullish for the past two days, with the price currently at 5668. This indicates that market participants are leaning toward a continuation of the uptrend, and buying pressure has been sustained.


🔹 Transition Zones:

5700 – 5780 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This zone represents the immediate resistance level for the S&P 500. The market is approaching this zone and could face some resistance around 5700. If the price breaks above 5780, it could open the door for further upside and a potential rally. A rejection within this zone might prompt a pullback or consolidation before the next move.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 5110
5110 remains a critical support level. As long as the price stays above this level, the bullish sentiment will remain intact. A break below 5110 could lead to a shift in sentiment toward a more neutral or bearish outlook.

Price: 5595
The next key resistance is at 5595, which has already been tested and might continue to act as an obstacle for the price in the near term. If the S&P 500 breaks above 5595, it would confirm the bullish trend and bring the 5700 – 5780 zone into focus as the next target.


🔹 Commentary:


The S&P 500 is trading at 5668, and the market has been bullish for the past two days. The price is testing the key resistance zone around 5700 – 5780, and a breakout above this range could indicate a strong continuation of the bullish trend. The support at 5110 remains critical, as a break below this level would suggest a possible shift in market sentiment. If the market holds above this support level and continues to move toward the resistance at 5595, we could see further bullish momentum toward the higher transition zone.


BTC/USD (Bitcoin)

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bullish – BTC/USD has been bullish for the past two days, with the price currently at 102,919. The market is experiencing positive momentum, with buyers in control, driving the price to higher levels. This recent bullish sentiment suggests that the market could continue its upward trajectory as long as the key support levels hold.


🔹 Transition Zones:

81,200 – 84,200 – Bullish Transition Zone.
This zone has acted as a strong support base in the past. As the price is currently above this range, any pullbacks toward this zone could be an opportunity for buyers to re-enter the market. If the price fails to hold above this range and falls back into it, the bullish sentiment could weaken.

93,650 – 94,675 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This transition zone has recently been tested as resistance. If the price breaks through this level decisively, it could signal the continuation of the bullish trend toward new highs. A failure to break above 94675 could result in a consolidation or a short-term correction.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 83,150
The price has held above 83150, which is an important dynamic support level. This level has acted as a floor in previous market pullbacks and continues to be critical for the bullish outlook. A move below this level could signal the end of the current rally, prompting further downside testing.

Price: 91,700
The next key resistance is at 91700. If the price continues to climb toward this level, it will be crucial to watch for any rejection or breakouts. A successful break above 91700 could signal that the market is ready for an extension higher, possibly targeting new all-time highs.


🔹 Commentary:


BTC/USD has been in a bullish trend for the past two days and is currently trading at 102,919. The market is approaching key transition zones and resistance levels, with a breakout above 94675 possibly leading to further upward movement. The 83150 support remains a key level for bulls, as a dip below this could indicate weakness in the current bullish trend. The next major resistance lies at 91700, and a successful breach above this could pave the way for even higher price levels. Traders should monitor these levels for confirmation of continuation or potential reversal signals.

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