Market Report – 29th of September, 2025

EUR/USD

🔹 Overall Sentiment:

Bearish – EUR/USD has carried a bearish sentiment for the past three days, with price now at 1.17226. Sellers have been in control, pulling the pair lower despite attempts to recover from recent declines. The current momentum suggests continued downside pressure, though key levels nearby may attract temporary rebounds. Caution is warranted as the market approaches critical decision zones.

🔹 Transition Zones:


1.15300 – 1.15750 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This zone represents a strong support range, where buyers may attempt to step in and defend against further declines. A break below could reinforce the bearish outlook and drive the pair lower.


1.17300 – 1.17780 – Bearish Transition Zone.
Acting as a near-term resistance, this zone has been capping upward moves. Reclaiming it would be crucial for buyers to shift momentum in their favor.

🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 1.16300
Serving as a solid support, this level is critical for bulls to hold if they want to prevent deeper downside. A breakdown below it could accelerate bearish momentum.

Price: 1.17180
Price is currently testing this resistance level, which is key in determining the next directional move. Sustained rejection here would likely strengthen the bearish case.

🔹 Commentary:


EUR/USD remains in a delicate position as bearish sentiment dominates short-term outlooks. The pair is hovering just above important support, leaving room for either a bounce or a deeper slide. Traders should monitor the reaction around 1.17180–1.17300 for signs of strength or weakness. Until bulls can reclaim higher zones, the market remains tilted toward sellers.


GBP/USD

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bearish – GBP/USD has maintained a bearish sentiment for the past week, with price currently at 1.34385. Sellers remain in control as the pair continues to trade near recent lows, reflecting persistent downward pressure. Despite temporary intraday recoveries, overall momentum continues to favor the downside. The outlook remains cautious, with key support levels now being tested.


🔹 Transition Zones:


1.35300 – 1.35650 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This zone represents a strong resistance area where previous rallies have stalled. A break above could signal buyer strength and challenge the broader bearish sentiment.


1.34450 – 1.34730 – Bullish Transition Zone.
Price is currently testing this zone, which serves as a critical short-term battleground. Sustained rejection here would reinforce the bearish momentum.

🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 1.34170
This is the key support level that buyers must defend to prevent further declines. A break below would likely accelerate downside pressure.

Price: 1.35650
Acting as a significant resistance, this level is crucial for bulls to reclaim if they aim to reverse momentum. Failure to breach it keeps the bias in favor of sellers.


🔹 Commentary:


GBP/USD is showing persistent weakness, as bearish sentiment dominates the market outlook. With price hovering close to important support levels, traders should monitor for potential breakdowns that could extend the selloff. A recovery toward 1.35300–1.35650 would be needed to challenge the current bearish control. Until such a shift occurs, sellers are likely to remain in the driver’s seat.


GOLD (XAU/USD)

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bullish – XAU/USD has held a strong bullish sentiment for the past month, with price now trading at 3809. The consistent uptrend highlights buyers’ dominance, pushing gold to fresh highs amid sustained demand. Momentum remains firmly on the upside, though slight pullbacks are likely as the market consolidates gains. The bullish structure suggests dips could attract further buying interest.


🔹 Transition Zones:

3352 – 3380 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This zone acted as a key accumulation area, fueling the strong breakout higher. It now represents a solid demand base that could serve as a floor in the event of a deeper pullback.

3732 – 3765 – Bearish Transition Zone.
Price has already tested and cleared this zone, confirming buyers’ strength. It could now transition into a support area for any near-term retracements.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 3405
This level underpinned gold’s rally and remains an important structural support. A sustained break below would weaken the broader bullish outlook.

Price: 3625
Acting as mid-term support, this level reinforces buyer control as long as price remains above it. It provides a buffer zone where fresh buying interest could emerge.

🔹 Commentary:


Gold continues to show resilience, supported by strong bullish momentum and a series of higher highs. The breakout above 3732–3765 signals buyers’ conviction, with the market firmly holding above key support levels. While short-term corrections are possible, the overall trajectory remains upward. As long as price stays above 3625, the bullish trend is expected to remain intact.


WTI (Crude Oil)

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bullish – WTI crude has been showing bullish sentiment for the past four days, currently trading at 64.65. Buyers have stepped in strongly from lower levels, lifting price back into a higher trading range. Momentum remains supportive, though the market is testing a key resistance area. A decisive move above resistance could open the door for further upside in the short term.


🔹 Transition Zones:

62.80 – 63.20 – Bullish Transition Zone.
This area acted as a consolidation zone before the latest bullish push. It now serves as a strong support base if prices retrace.


64.35 – 65.65 – Bearish Transition Zone.
WTI is currently testing this zone, and sustained strength above it could confirm further bullish continuation. However, rejection here might trigger another pullback.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 61.65
This remains a critical structural support that underpinned the recent bullish reversal. A break below would shift sentiment back to bearish.

Price: 65.10
This level aligns with the upper boundary of the current resistance zone. If broken, it could clear the way for WTI to advance toward higher price ranges.


🔹 Commentary:


WTI has regained bullish momentum, pushing prices back toward the 65 handle. The market is now in a key testing phase as it approaches strong resistance. Bulls will need to defend momentum and drive a breakout to sustain the upward trend. If price fails here, a retest of the 63 zone could follow before any renewed push higher.


S&P 500

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bullish – The S&P 500 has maintained bullish sentiment for the past three and a half weeks, with the index now trading at 6677. Momentum continues to favor the upside as higher lows and consistent buying pressure sustain the uptrend. While short-term consolidations are possible, overall sentiment remains supportive of further gains. Investors are showing confidence, with dip-buying activity keeping the trend intact.


🔹 Transition Zones:

6345 – 6370 – Bullish Transition Zone.
This zone previously served as a consolidation area before the latest leg higher. If revisited, it may provide a solid support base for renewed bullish momentum.


6465 – 6500 – Bearish Transition Zone.
Price has already cleared this zone, confirming it as a strong breakout level. It may now act as a support floor on any near-term pullback.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 6445
This level reinforces the breakout from Zone 2 and should act as a strong cushion against deeper corrections. A sustained hold above it would signal continued strength.

Price: 6570
This resistance level sits just below current trading levels and represents the next key hurdle. A breakout above would likely accelerate bullish momentum toward new highs.


🔹 Commentary:


The S&P 500 remains firmly in an uptrend, with bullish sentiment supported by strong technical positioning. Breakouts above prior resistance zones highlight the strength of buying interest. Near-term price action may see consolidation around the 6570–6677 range, but the broader bias remains positive. If bulls maintain momentum, the index could extend gains further into uncharted territory.


BTC/USD (Bitcoin)

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bearish – Bitcoin has been under bearish sentiment for the past five days, with the price currently at 112203. Despite small recoveries, the broader market mood remains cautious as sellers maintain control near key resistance levels. Momentum is fragile, and bulls will need stronger buying activity to reverse the recent downward bias. For now, the sentiment leans toward continued pressure unless major resistances are broken.


🔹 Transition Zones:

113,750 – 114,350 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This zone acts as a strong resistance area, where sellers have consistently capped upside attempts. A clean breakout above could mark a shift in momentum.


110,050 – 111,050 – Bearish Transition Zone.
This zone has been crucial for recent support, absorbing selling pressure. If price falls back here, it could stabilize short term, but a breakdown would expose deeper downside risk.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 110,450
This level is a key support and aligns closely with Zone 2, reinforcing its importance. A sustained break below would intensify bearish momentum.

Price: 114,800
Serving as a strong resistance, this level will be the decisive point for bulls to reclaim strength. Failure to push beyond it keeps sellers in control.


🔹 Commentary:


BTC/USD remains in a consolidation phase within a broader bearish structure. Short-term recoveries are visible, but they lack the strength to change the overall direction yet. Market participants are closely watching how price reacts at the 110450 support and 114800 resistance. Until a breakout occurs, volatility will likely remain high, with risks skewed to the downside.

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