Market Report – 1st of October, 2025

EUR/USD

🔹 Overall Sentiment:

Bearish – EUR/USD has been under bearish pressure for the past two days, reflecting a clear downside sentiment in the market. Price action is currently consolidating around 1.17436, hovering near a key transition area. Despite the short-term bearish outlook, buyers have attempted to defend certain zones, hinting at possible rebounds. However, the dominant trend remains weak, with sellers maintaining control.

🔹 Transition Zones:


1.15300 – 1.15750 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The lower transition zone between 1.15300 – 1.15750 represents a strong accumulation area where buyers could step in if price breaks lower. A test of this zone may trigger a reversal attempt, though sustained bearish momentum could drive further declines.


1.17300 – 1.17780 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The upper transition zone at 1.17300 – 1.17780 is currently being tested, serving as a battleground between bulls and bears. A rejection here may accelerate bearish sentiment, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of buyers.

🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 1.16300
Level 1 at 1.16300 acts as a critical support structure, and a breakdown below it would open the door for a retest of the deeper transition zone. Holding above this level will be essential for buyers to slow down bearish momentum.

Price: 1.17180
Level 2 at 1.17180 is functioning as immediate resistance, currently containing bullish attempts. A decisive break above could neutralize the bearish narrative and support a short-term recovery.

🔹 Commentary:


EUR/USD is at a pivotal juncture, with market participants closely watching the upper transition zone for signs of strength or rejection. The recent bearish sentiment is supported by lower highs, but volatility around support levels highlights underlying buying interest. If bulls manage to reclaim ground above 1.17180, short-term sentiment could stabilize. For now, traders should remain cautious as the pair balances on a fine line between deeper declines and potential recovery.


GBP/USD

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bullish – GBP/USD has shown bullish sentiment over the past day, with the pair rebounding strongly from recent lows. The recovery highlights renewed buying pressure, positioning price within a key technical zone at 1.34684. While short-term momentum favors the bulls, challenges remain as overhead resistance levels are tested. Sustaining the upward move will require further strength to confirm a potential trend continuation.


🔹 Transition Zones:


1.35300 – 1.35650 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The upper transition zone between 1.35300 – 1.35650 is a critical area where sellers may attempt to reassert control. A successful breakout above this range would reinforce bullish momentum and open room for higher targets.


1.34450 – 1.34730 – Bullish Transition Zone.
The lower transition zone at 1.34450 – 1.34730 is currently acting as a consolidation zone where buyers are defending the uptrend. Holding above this range signals market confidence and supports a bullish bias.

🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 1.34170
Level 1 at 1.34170 is serving as a solid support, helping to stabilize the recent recovery. A break below this level could weaken bullish momentum and invite renewed selling pressure.

Price: 1.35650
Level 2 at 1.35650 is the key resistance level, aligning with the upper transition zone. A decisive close above this point would confirm bullish control and shift the market outlook firmly upward.


🔹 Commentary:


GBP/USD is showing encouraging signs for buyers after reclaiming ground within the transition zone. The pair’s resilience above immediate support underlines strengthening sentiment, but caution is warranted as price approaches a heavy resistance area. Market participants will closely watch the reaction around 1.35650, as a breakout could signal the start of a larger bullish trend. Until then, traders should expect choppy price action as both sides battle for dominance.


GOLD (XAU/USD)

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bullish – XAU/USD has maintained strong bullish sentiment for over a month, with price steadily climbing to reach 3884. Momentum continues to favor buyers, as higher highs and consistent breakouts confirm sustained demand. The market shows no signs of reversal yet, with buyers firmly in control of the trend. Current conditions suggest further upside potential as long as price holds above key support levels.


🔹 Transition Zones:

3352 – 3380 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The lower transition zone between 3352 – 3380 served as a key accumulation area, from which the bullish rally accelerated. This zone now acts as a major foundation for long-term buyers, making it a critical reference point in case of retracement.

3732 – 3765 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The upper transition zone at 3732 – 3765 was recently cleared, turning into a supportive structure for the ongoing rally. Holding above this zone reinforces bullish conviction and provides a platform for further gains.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 3405
Level 1 at 3405 represents a historical support area that underpinned the early stages of the bullish trend. A breakdown below this level would significantly weaken sentiment and signal deeper correction potential.

Price: 3625
Level 2 at 3625 has transitioned into a strong support level after being decisively broken. As long as price remains above this level, the bullish outlook remains intact.

🔹 Commentary:


Gold continues to exhibit remarkable strength, driven by consistent bullish sentiment and aggressive upward momentum. The breakout above 3765 has positioned the market for new highs, with buyers dominating the structure. Traders will likely treat minor pullbacks as buying opportunities, given the depth of support below. Unless a strong rejection emerges, XAU/USD appears set to extend its bullish cycle further into October.


WTI (Crude Oil)

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bullish – WTI crude has shown bullish sentiment over the past day despite trading near recent lows at 61.77. The market appears to be consolidating after a sharp decline, with buyers attempting to stabilize price at key support. Short-term momentum is leaning positive, but broader structure still reflects recent selling pressure. A sustained push above resistance levels will be necessary to confirm a stronger recovery.


🔹 Transition Zones:

62.80 – 63.20 – Bullish Transition Zone.
The first transition zone between 62.80 – 63.20 represents immediate resistance where sellers may attempt to cap bullish momentum. A breakout above this zone would signal strengthening buyer conviction and encourage further upside.


64.35 – 65.65 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The second transition zone at 64.35 – 65.65 is a broader resistance band that could slow or reverse rallies. Clearing this zone would shift sentiment more decisively bullish and open the door to higher price targets.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 61.65
Level 1 at 61.65 is acting as critical support, with buyers stepping in to defend the area. A breakdown below this level would undermine the current bullish sentiment and expose further downside.

Price: 65.10
Level 2 at 65.10 serves as a significant resistance point, aligning with the upper transition structure. A close above this level would confirm bullish momentum and validate a reversal from recent weakness.


🔹 Commentary:


WTI is currently at a crucial juncture, with sentiment improving slightly after heavy selling pressure. Buyers are trying to reassert control, but immediate upside remains capped by clustered resistance zones. A sustained recovery requires holding above 61.65 while breaking through 63.20 and 65.10. Until then, the market may remain range-bound, with volatility driven by shifts in momentum between bulls and bears.


S&P 500

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bearish – The S&P 500 has shown bearish sentiment over the past day, with the index consolidating at 6649 after failing to sustain higher levels. Short-term selling pressure has capped upside momentum, leaving the market vulnerable to further pullbacks. Despite the recent bearish tone, the broader structure still leans towards stability, supported by strong underlying demand. A clearer directional move will depend on reactions to nearby transition zones.


🔹 Transition Zones:

6345 – 6370 – Bullish Transition Zone.
The lower transition zone at 6345 – 6370 represents a significant demand area where buyers could re-enter the market. A test of this zone would likely determine whether the broader uptrend remains intact or further downside develops.


6465 – 6500 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The upper transition zone between 6465 – 6500 is currently acting as a key battleground. Price action in this zone will signal whether sellers continue to dominate or if buyers regain momentum to push higher.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 6445
Level 1 at 6445 provides immediate structural support, and holding above this level will be critical for bulls to limit downside pressure. A breakdown below could invite stronger selling interest.

Price: 6570
Level 2 at 6570 is acting as short-term resistance, capping any attempts at recovery. A decisive break above this level would weaken the bearish outlook and restore bullish confidence.


🔹 Commentary:


The S&P 500 is at a crossroads, balancing between bearish momentum and resilient buying activity near support zones. Sellers are currently holding control, but buyers remain active, keeping the market from a deeper breakdown. Traders should watch the 6445 support closely as a key pivot for upcoming moves. A rebound above 6570 could quickly shift sentiment, while failure to defend support may lead to sharper declines.


BTC/USD (Bitcoin)

🔹 Overall Sentiment:


Bearish – BTC/USD has carried bearish sentiment over the past day, but price has sharply rebounded to 116,246, pushing above near-term resistance. Despite the bearish bias, buyers have shown strong momentum, recovering from recent lows. This move highlights volatility in the market, with both bulls and bears actively competing for control. A clear directional bias will depend on how price reacts to the nearby resistance zone.


🔹 Transition Zones:

113,750 – 114,350 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The first transition zone between 113,750 – 114,350 was tested and cleared, showing that buyers successfully overpowered bearish pressure. Sustaining above this zone will be key for confirming bullish strength.


110,050 – 111,050 – Bearish Transition Zone.
The second transition zone at 110,050 – 111,050 acted as a strong support where price rebounded sharply. This zone now serves as a base for buyers, reinforcing the importance of maintaining control above it.


🔹 Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels:


Price: 110,450
Level 1 at 110,450 provided strong structural support during the recent decline. A breakdown below this level in the future would reintroduce bearish sentiment and expose BTC/USD to further downside.

Price: 114,800
Level 2 at 114,800 has transitioned into immediate resistance but was just surpassed during the recent rally. Holding above this level could extend the upside and challenge higher resistance zones.


🔹 Commentary:


Bitcoin is displaying heightened volatility, with sentiment and structure shifting quickly between bearish and bullish signals. The sharp move above 114,800 shows renewed buying interest, suggesting that bears may be losing near-term control. However, traders should be cautious, as rejection from current highs could trigger another pullback. Sustaining momentum above key resistance is essential for confirming a short-term bullish reversal.

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